The war in Ukraine as a HILP event. A wake-up call for global resilience

Article Sidebar

PDF
Number of views 19

Published: May 20, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.51582/interconf.19-20.05.2025.009
Keywords:
HILP events, Resilience, Cascading Effects, Infrastructure, Cybersecurity
Issue
No. 57(248) (2025): 8th ISPC «Scientific Goals and Purposes in XXI Century» (May 19-20, 2025; Seattle, USA).
Section
International economics and International relations
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Main Article Content

Olena Ogir
Department and the Department of Hybrid Modeling and Control Systems in Energy; G.E. Pukhov Institute for Modelling in Energy Engineering NAS of Ukraine

Abstract

This article analyzes the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine through the lens of a High-Impact Low-Probability (HILP) event. It examines the war’s cascading consequences across humanitarian, energy, economic, food security, cyber, and geopolitical domains, demonstrating how an underestimated threat can produce systemic global disruption. Drawing on data and case-based analysis, the paper highlights critical lessons for resilience planning, crisis governance, and strategic foresight. It concludes with recommendations to better prepare institutions and societies for future low-probability, high-impact scenarios.


Google Scholar

CrossRef

OUCI

Scilit

WorldCat

Index Copernicus

Semantic Scholar


Article Details

How to Cite
Ogir, O. (2025). The war in Ukraine as a HILP event. A wake-up call for global resilience. Scientific Collection «InterConf+», (57(248), 112–121. https://doi.org/10.51582/interconf.19-20.05.2025.009
Author Biography

Olena Ogir, Department and the Department of Hybrid Modeling and Control Systems in Energy; G.E. Pukhov Institute for Modelling in Energy Engineering NAS of Ukraine

Candidate of Technical Sciences, Senior Research Officer of the Scientific and Organizational

References

Consilium. 2025. Timeline—EU sanctions against Russia. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions-against-russia/timeline-sanctions-against-russia/. Accessed 22 Jan 2025.

Benedikter, Roland. 2023. The role of religion in russia’s Ukraine war. Part 1: a map of the situation. Zeitschrift für Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik 16(1):79–100. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12399-022-00931-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12399-022-00931-7

Burlyuk, Olga, and Vjosa Musliu. 2023. The responsibility to remain silent? On the politics of knowledge production, expertise and (self-)reflection in Russia’s war against Ukraine. Journal of International Relations and Development 26:605–618. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41268-023-00318-x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41268-023-00318-x